Bitcoin Market Update – 17 October 2025

A Month of Volatility, Reversals, and Planetary Precision

We are now midway through October, and the forecasted volatility window is fully expressing itself. Let’s break down what’s happened so far and where we could be heading next.

 The 7–13 October Time Window

I’ve emphasized for months that the 7th to 13th of October would be one of the most important time windows of the year, and potentially even a cycle top zone.

Here’s what we saw:

• High came in early — on 6 October — at $126,250, just one day before the time window began.

• Since then, price has dropped sharply, fulfilling the reversal expectation.

I also warned that this window could mark a monthly top, and in some cases even a macro top for the cycle. While this isn’t confirmed yet, price action and timing are validating the warning.

 Mars Semisquare Saturn – 10 October

On 10 Oct, the exact day of Mars semisquare Saturn, we got the Trump trade war escalation, which triggered a liquidity flush across markets:

• Billions in leveraged positions were liquidated

• Alts dropped 70–80% in a single day

• Bitcoin plunged down to ~$102k on some exchanges

I had warned about Mars semisquare Saturn being a high-tension, negative aspect, and it delivered exactly that.

Trump's posts can act like astro triggers themselves — and this was a prime example of planetary pressure + external catalyst converging into a perfect storm.

 Price Levels and Structure Since Then

We saw a rebound into the 13th, which I also had marked as a pivot, before price started rolling over again.

Today, 17 Oct, BTC hit a low of $103,500, which is just above my support level of $103,184.

This alignment with price and time suggests that today may be another pivot, and we may see a relief rally over the next few days.

However — price broke below 108k, which I’ve said many times is a critical support.

• We tested 108k three times

• On the fourth, it broke down

• This is typically how structure fails, and confirms that the trend has weakened

 Where Are We Now? Is the Top In?

This is the question everyone is asking.

By now, you should all know how I approach the market:I work with cycles, planetary degrees, square-outs, harmonic numbers, and time pivots.

What my system is showing:

• ✅ Time pivot matched

• ✅ Planetary aspect matched

• ✅ Exact count between cycle tops confirmed

• ✅ Triple top formation

• 🔺 Price target of $127k was nearly reached — we hit $126,250

Are the missing $850 significant? That’s impossible to say. We must accept some deviation in price near time pivots. What matters is how structure behaves after the reversal window.

I would be happy to be wrong, and for this not to be the macro cycle top. But we have to stay objective.

 RSI Analysis – Do We Really Need 90+?

Everyone keeps saying the cycle top must come with a monthly RSI over 90. But let’s look at the data:

Cycle Month Price Monthly RSI

2019 Jun $13,870 83.72

2019 Jul $13,196 77.84

2021 Jan $41,993 93.25

2021 Feb $58,385 84.63

2021 Mar $61,769 76.48

2021 Apr $65,000 72.04

2021 Oct $67,000 66.61

2021 Nov $69,000 68.33

2024 Dec $108,000 77.73

2025 Jan $109,350 71.73

2025 Jul $123,000 71.84

2025 Aug $124,270 72.16

2025 Oct $126,250 64.05 

👉 So do we really need RSI above 90? Clearly not.The most consistent RSI levels around major tops are 70–77, not 90+. The current 64 reading suggests we could go lower — or it could be a divergence forming at the cycle top.

✅ Bullish Case (Extended Cycle)

• This is not the cycle top

• We’re seeing a correction like Jan–Apr 2021

• Price continues to drop or consolidate into Nov/Dec

• Sentiment resets

• Then we reverse into new ATH by end of year or early 2026

• Aligns with extended cycle theory

📉 Price Levels to Watch

Resistance:

• $108–110k → key test zone. If bulls reclaim and hold above this, bullish structure may rebuild

• $112k and $116k → next levels above. If we push up here and get rejected, it's likely a trap

Support:

• $103,184 → tested today

• $100k → psychological

• Below that = likely full trend breakdown

The deeper we go, the harder it becomes to argue for new ATHs in Q4 — but it’s not over yet.

 Trump & Market Reactions

Trump knows exactly how to use timing and messaging. His posts are like astrological catalysts — and markets react violently in both directions. With geopolitics ramping up, volatility is expected to remain high.

 Final Thoughts

• Price hit $126,250 on 6 Oct

• Planetary window 7–13 Oct called the top

• Mars semisquare Saturn hit on 10 Oct with Trump’s trade war post

• Massive sell-off followed, alts down 70–80%

• Today (17 Oct) possibly marks another pivot

• 108k broke down, now acts as resistance

• RSI shows cycle tops occur near 70, not 90

• We may now enter a longer consolidation or mid-cycle correction

More updates soon with follow-ups on price structure, planetary alignments, and monthly RSI.

Let the chart and time decide.Stay sharp.

— @Bitcoin_AstroPatreon Premium – 17 October 2025